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Month: August 2024
Last week, Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech marked a definitive turning point toward less restrictive monetary policy. Fed futures show a cumulative rate cut of 1% by their December meeting. Investors should consider locking in higher yields for the longer term, anticipating lower rates. The S&P 500 gained 1.47% on the week, with a two-week cumulative return of 5.46%.
Inflation data from Personal Consumption Expenditures(PCE) and Nvidia ...
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Weekly Market Update – 8.19.2024
Last week, investors embraced positive economic data. July’s CPI was 2.9% compared to one year ago. Following the upbeat CPI report, the probability of the Fed cutting rates at their September meeting remained 100%. Strong retail sales and lower initial Jobless claims comforted investors after the disappointing jobs reported two weeks ago. Stocks posted their best week of the year, with the S&P 500 gaining 3.99%.
The real estate sector ...
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Market Jitters: Recession On or Off?
Recent market fluctuations have investors on edge, with many wondering if a recession is looming. While headlines may scream doom and gloom one day and optimism the next, it’s crucial to remember that economic speculation should not dictate your financial strategy.
Market volatility is a natural part of the economic cycle. Whether a recession is imminent or not, your long-term financial goals remain the same. A well-diversified portfolio and a solid financial strategy are designed to ...
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Weekly Market Update – 8.12.2024
Last week, some investors and funds exposed their risk associated with leverage and currencies via carry trades. Some carry trade investors realized large losses, while most long-term prudent investors felt acute pain on Monday. Monday’s market volatility, measured by VIX, was the highest it had been seen since 2008. Fear of the systemic ripples from unwinding the carry trades contributed to Monday’s spike in the VIX premarket. The S&P 500 declined by only .02% for the ...
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Weekly Market Update – 8.5.2024
Stocks finished last week in the red, with the S&P 500 declining 2.05%. The Fed held rates steady as expected and signaled that rate cuts are in the cards at their September meeting. With the recent market volatility, lower-than-expected hiring for June, and the unemployment rate at 4.3%, the probability of a 0.50% rate cut at their September meeting currently stands at 84%. June’s job numbers disappointed expectations, but hiring has reached average pre-pandemic levels, and the ...
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