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Weekly Market Update – 4.15.2024

Last week, stocks and bonds retreated following a stubborn Consumer Price Index(CPI) print. The CPI was unchanged from the previous month and up 3.5% year-over-year. Following the CPI report, the market immediately reduced the probability of a June rate cut. Bank earnings beat most expectations on Friday, although they came with cautionary forward-looking statements from their COEs, including JP Morgan’s Jamie Dimon. This week started with another strong retail sales report. March ...
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Weekly Market Update – 4.8.2024

Last week, strong job numbers introduced uncertainty, with the S&P 500 falling by 0.93% and bonds dropping by 1.06%. Job creation and openings support economic growth but can result in persistent inflation and prompt the Federal Reserve (Fed) to maintain high-interest rates to fulfill its dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability. Gold prices surged above $2,300 per ounce, reaching record highs before settling at $2,299 on Friday. There’s considerable buzz around gold ...
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Weekly Market Update – 3.25.2024

Last week, the market appreciated Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s commentary and the FOMC projections on GDP, unemployment, PCE, and interest rates. The S&P 500 gained 2.31% and is up 10.12% year-to-date. Their revised dot plot showed three cuts expected this year and an increase in the fed participants’ agreement regarding these three cuts. However, participants slightly increased their rate projections for 2025 and 2026 compared to their December projections.   Nvidia ...
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Weekly Market Update – 3.18.2024

Last week, the market had mixed reactions to the inflation data. The Core Consumer Price Index (Core CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) for February exceeded expectations, registering at 0.4% and 0.6%, respectively, from the previous month. Over the past twelve months, Core CPI increased by 3.8%. The S&P 500 gained following Tuesday’s CPI data but sold off on Thursday after the hotter-than-expected PPI data, closing down -0.09% for the week. The Federal Open Market Committee ...
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Weekly Market Update – 3.11.2024

Last week, I did not post a market update because I visited Nicaragua with my family. This experience left us with a deep appreciation for the Nicaraguans we met and a renewed awareness of the vast opportunities we are blessed with in the United States of America. Turning to the US economy, we observed a decline in January job openings. February employment data showed that nonfarm payrolls increased by 275K, average hourly earnings slightly increased by 0.1%, and the unemployment rate rose ...
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Weekly Market Update – 2.26.2024

Last week, Nvidia (NVDA) posted record profits, contributing to its stock and the broader stock market achieving record highs on Friday. The S&P 500 gained 1.68% for the week and 6.91% year-to-date. Far from being hype, Artificial Intelligence (AI) is poised to revolutionize business and our daily lives. By enhancing efficiency and productivity, AI technology promises transformative changes across industries. While optimism around AI remains high, mitigating AI technology risks is ...
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Weekly Market Update – 2.19.2024

Last week, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) both came in hotter than expected, with shelter costs being the primary contributor to the notable increase in January’s CPI report, accounting for two-thirds of the total increase. For commentary and a chart explaining how real wage growth has outpaced inflation since the start of 2023, please take a look at the attached Weekly Market Recap. Real wage growth should support consumer spending and the economy. ...
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Weekly Market Update – 2.12.2024

Last week, the S&P 500 gained 1.40%, reaching another all-time closing high on Friday of 5027. Earnings beats from Disney (DIS), Chipotle (CMG), and McDonald’s (MCD) contributed to the S&P 500 setting higher highs. This week, the Chiefs can be considered a dynasty after beating the 49ers in overtime to win their second consecutive Super Bowl and third in five years. According to the USA Today Ad Meter, State Farm’s “Like a Good Neighbor” was the most-liked ...
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Weekly Market Update – 2.5.2024

Last week, the S&P 500 reached another all-time closing high, buoyed by positive corporate earnings and a strong Jobs Report. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) held rates steady as expected. Stocks declined on Wednesday after Jerome Powell’s press conference but rebounded Thursday. Impressive earnings from Amazon and Meta rallied the S&P 500 to a record close of 4959 on Friday, up 4.06% year-to-date. This week’s economic data is relatively light. The January ...
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Weekly Market Update – 1.29.2024

Last week, Netflix reported better-than-expected revenue and added 13.1 million users in the fourth quarter of 2023, surpassing expectations by over 50%. Their initiative to crack down on password sharing helped drive user growth. Conversely, Tesla’s earnings report disappointed investors, leading to a 12% drop in its stock value on Thursday. The advance estimate of the fourth quarter 2023 Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) showed a 3.3% annualized increase. Notably, the Real US ...
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