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Tag: Retail
Last week, investors reacted to the election results and the FOMC’s 0.25% rate cut, driving U.S. stocks to new record highs. The S&P 500 gained 4.69% on the week. ForecastEx contracts accurately predicted the outcome of the presidential election and various other races.
This week, we will get the latest inflation data for October, which includes the Consumer Price Index (CPI)and Producer Price Index (PPI). CPI is expected to remain unchanged ...
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Weekly Market Update – 10.21.2024
Last week’s mixed corporate earnings and strong retail sales drove the S&P 500 to another record close on Friday. Analysts expected year-over-year growth in Q3 earnings per share(EPS) for the S&P 500 of 1.9%. Information technology leads the way at 15%, with energy coming in last at -30%. Prudent portfolio rebalancing across sectors could position portfolios in 2025 to benefit from expected double-digit earnings growth in materials, industrials, and energy (JPM Weekly ...
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Weekly Market Update – 8.19.2024
Last week, investors embraced positive economic data. July’s CPI was 2.9% compared to one year ago. Following the upbeat CPI report, the probability of the Fed cutting rates at their September meeting remained 100%. Strong retail sales and lower initial Jobless claims comforted investors after the disappointing jobs reported two weeks ago. Stocks posted their best week of the year, with the S&P 500 gaining 3.99%.
The real estate sector ...
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Weekly Market Update – 7.15.2024
Unify Financial Advisors Weekly Market Update
Last week, following the lower-than-expected June CPI release, yields dropped across the curve, driving bond prices up 0.82%. Bond prices and yields have an inverse relationship; as prices rise, yields fall.
Second quarter corporate earnings came in mixed. PepsiCo and JP Morgan rallied into Friday’s close, while Delta and Wells Fargo declined. Banks’ net interest income is under pressure as customers demand higher ...
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Weekly Market Update – 6.24.2024
Last week, stocks rallied but closed short of their all-time highs. May’s Retail Sales Report showed a 0.1% increase from the previous month, below the 0.3% expected. The category of sporting goods, hobby, musical instruments, and book stores saw the biggest m/m increase of 2.8%. In contrast, gasoline stations and furniture sales saw the largest decreases, 2.2% and 1.1% respectively. Look for summer-time discounts on home furniture and furnishings.
This ...
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Weekly Market Update – 4.15.2024
Last week, stocks and bonds retreated following a stubborn Consumer Price Index(CPI) print. The CPI was unchanged from the previous month and up 3.5% year-over-year. Following the CPI report, the market immediately reduced the probability of a June rate cut. Bank earnings beat most expectations on Friday, although they came with cautionary forward-looking statements from their COEs, including JP Morgan’s Jamie Dimon.
This week started with another strong retail sales report. March ...
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Weekly Market Update – 2.19.2024
Last week, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) both came in hotter than expected, with shelter costs being the primary contributor to the notable increase in January’s CPI report, accounting for two-thirds of the total increase.
For commentary and a chart explaining how real wage growth has outpaced inflation since the start of 2023, please take a look at the attached Weekly Market Recap. Real wage growth should support consumer spending and the economy.
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Weekly Market Update – 1.16.2024
Last week, the Michigan Wolverines pounced on the Washington Huskies in the NCAA Football Championship. Their victory is analogous to how the shelter component dominated the warmer-than-expected inflation data in the December Consumer Price Index (CPI). The index component for shelter continued its rise, contributing to over half of the overall CPI increase.
The owners’ equivalent rent of residences (OER) survey, which accounts for 75% of the shelter index, could overstate current ...
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Weekly Market Update – 12.18.2023
Last week’s economic data and news were positively received. A cooler Producer Price Index (PPI), a dovish pivot by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), and strong retail sales propelled stocks and bonds higher. The S&P 500 gained 2.53%, while bonds saw a 2.16% increase. November’s Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) was slightly higher at 0.3%, compared to 0.2% in October, excluding volatile food and energy prices. Shelter costs were the primary contributors to Core ...
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Weekly Market Update – 12.11.2023
Last week, US stocks added to their gains, with small-cap stocks leading the way. The Russell 2000, which represents smaller US companies, was up 1% last week and 5.10% for the year. In comparison, the S&P 500 returned 0.24% last week and 21.81% for the year. Small-cap stocks tend to outperform large-cap stocks in bull markets, during economic recoveries, and amidst accommodative monetary policies such as lower interest rates. Last week’s job data indicated a tighter labor market, ...
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