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Tag: S&P 500
Last week, the S&P 500 finished down (0.96%), while the tech-heavy NASDAQ gained 0.16%. Ten-year treasury yields climbed, closing at 4.25%, driving borrowing rates on 30-year fixed mortgages up to 7.21%.
Through Friday, 37% of companies in the S&P 500 reported third-quarter earnings, with 75% beating estimates, in line with the 10-year average for this metric. Profits are broadening beyond the largest companies and analysts expect earning gains across all 11 S&P 500 sectors for ...
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Weekly Market Update – 10.21.2024
Last week’s mixed corporate earnings and strong retail sales drove the S&P 500 to another record close on Friday. Analysts expected year-over-year growth in Q3 earnings per share(EPS) for the S&P 500 of 1.9%. Information technology leads the way at 15%, with energy coming in last at -30%. Prudent portfolio rebalancing across sectors could position portfolios in 2025 to benefit from expected double-digit earnings growth in materials, industrials, and energy (JPM Weekly ...
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Weekly Market Update – 10.14.2024
On Friday, the S&P 500 notched its 45th all-time high this year, gaining 1.13% for the week. Inflation measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) reached its lowest level in three years, with year-over-year CPI at 2.4%. JP Morgan and Wells Fargo helped kick off Q3 corporate earnings season by beating their earnings estimates.
This week, earning seasons get into full swing, especially with Financials. Other notable non-financials reporting this ...
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Weekly Market Update – 9.30.2024
Last week, the S&P 500 posted record highs and gained 0.64%. Personal Consumption Expenditures(PCE) for August rose 2.2% from one year ago. With PCE being the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, there is currently a 100% probability of at least a 0.25% rate cut on November 7.
I was recently asked how stocks can set record highs in the face of political uncertainty and wars. In short, the Fed has more influence over the current US economy than elections and ...
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Weekly Market Update – 9.23.2024
Last week, the Fed made a big move by cutting the policy rate by 0.50%. The Federal Open Market Committee’s quarterly Summary of Economic Projections showed decreases in expected inflation and policy rate and an increase in unemployment compared to their June projection. Stocks rallied on the news, with the S&P 500 gaining 1.39%.
This week, stocks look to post a monthly gain in September for the first time since 2019. Friday, the Personal Consumption ...
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Weekly Market Update – 9.16.2024
Stocks bounced back, with the S&P 500 gaining 4.06% and the Tech Heavy NASDAQ gaining 5.98% for the week. Bonds also added value as rates decreased in anticipation of a Fed cut. The aggregate bond index (AGG) gained 5.68% for the year through Friday. Bonds are on pace for their first positive calendar year of returns since 2020.
This week’s focus is on the Fed, as a 0.50% rate cut seems appropriate. The probability of the FOMC cutting the Federal Funds Rate by ...
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Weekly Market Update – 9.3.2024
The S&P 500 posted gains for the third consecutive week, helped by positive GDP revisions and tamed inflation(PCE). Nvidia(NVDA) beat earnings estimates but experienced margin contraction partly due to production issues with its next-generation Blackwell chips. Thursday, NVDA shares declined 6.4%, highlighting that high expectations for future profits leave little margin for error.
Today, ISM’s purchasing manager’s index(PMI) for August came in ...
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Weekly Market Update – 8.5.2024
Stocks finished last week in the red, with the S&P 500 declining 2.05%. The Fed held rates steady as expected and signaled that rate cuts are in the cards at their September meeting. With the recent market volatility, lower-than-expected hiring for June, and the unemployment rate at 4.3%, the probability of a 0.50% rate cut at their September meeting currently stands at 84%. June’s job numbers disappointed expectations, but hiring has reached average pre-pandemic levels, and the ...
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Weekly Market Update – 7.22.2024
Stocks started in rally mode last week, with the S&P 500 and Dow setting record highs. However, the S&P 500 and tech stocks retreated on concerns about future tariffs and export restrictions to China. Money rotated out of the Magnificent 7 into small-cap and defensive stocks.
CrowdStrike, a large cybersecurity company, applied a software update Friday morning while most of us slept. The update caused outages for Microsoft Windows users, wreaking havoc on large airlines, ...
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Weekly Market Update – 7.8.2024
Following the July 4th holiday, the Employment Report indicated a strong but cooling labor market. After the report, the probability of a 0.25% rate cut in September increased to 75%. The prospects of lower interest rates pushed the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to close at all-time highs, up 17.57% and 22.73% YTD, respectively.
This week, Delta (DAL), Pepsi (PEP), and big banks JP Morgan (JPM), Citi (C), and Wells Fargo (WFC) kick off the second quarter corporate earnings season. The S&P ...
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